Application of the maximum threshold distances to reduce gene flow frequency in the coexistence between genetically modified (GM) and non-GM maize.

On the coexistence of genetically modified (GM) and non-GM maize, the isolation distance plays an important role in controlling the transgenic flow. In this study, maize gene flow model was used to quantify the MTD0.1% and MTD1% in the main maize-planting regions of China; those were the maximum threshold distance for the gene flow frequency equal to or lower than 1% and 0.1%. The model showed that the extreme MTD1% and MTD0.1% were 187 and 548 m, respectively. The regions of northern China and the coastal plain, including Hainan crop winter-season multiplication base, showed a significantly high risk for maize gene flow, while the west-south of China was the largest low-risk areas. Except for a few sites, the isolation distance of 500 m could yield a seed purity of better than 0.1% and meet the production needs of breeder seeds. The parameters of genetic competitiveness (cp) were introduced to assess the effects of hybrid compatibility between the donor and recipient. The results showed that hybrid incompatibility could minimize the risk. When cp = 0.05, MTD1% and MTD0.1% could be greatly reduced within 19 m and 75 m. These data were helpful to provide scientific data to set the isolation distance between GM and non-GM maize and select the right place to produce the hybrid maize seeds.

Increased pollen source area does not always enhance the risk of pollen dispersal and gene flow in Oryza sativa L.

Pollen dispersal is one of the main ways of gene flow. In the past years, rice pollen dispersal and gene flow have been well studies. However, there is much dispute whether the risk of pollen dispersal and gene flow continuously increases with the source area. A Lagrangian stochastic model was used to simulate the pollen depositions at different distances from different pollen source areas. The field experiments showed a good fit in the pollen depositions. The larger the source area, the more the pollen grains were deposited at each distance, with the pollen dispersal distance increasing accordingly. However, this effect gradually leveled off as the source area increased. In the large-area of pollen source, we found a significantly higher saturation point for the amount of pollen deposition. Once the source area exceeded 1000 × 1000 m2, the pollen deposition no longer increased, even if the source area continued to increase, indicating the "critical source area" of rice pollen dispersal. However, a 100 × 100 m2 critical source area for conventional rice and hybrid rice was sufficient, while the critical source area for the sterile line was about 230 × 230 m2.

Rice transgene flow: its patterns, model and risk management.

Progress has been made in a 12 year's systemic study on the rice transgene flow including (i) with experiments conducted at multiple locations and years using up to 21 pollen recipients, we have elucidated the patterns of transgene flow to different types of rice. The frequency to male sterile lines is 10(1) and 10(3) higher than that to O. rufipogon and rice cultivars. Wind speed and direction are the key meteorological factors affecting rice transgene flow. (ii) A regional applicable rice gene flow model is established and used to predict the maximum threshold distances (MTDs) of gene flow during 30 years in 993 major rice producing counties of southern China. The MTD0.1% for rice cultivars is basically ≤5 m in the whole region, despite climate differs significantly at diverse locations and years. This figure is particularly valuable for the commercialization and regulation of transgenic rice. (iii) The long-term fate of transgene integrated into common wild rice was investigated. Results demonstrated that the F1 hybrids of transgenic rice/O. rufipogon gradually disappeared within 3-5 years, and the Bt or bar gene was not detectable in the mixed population, suggesting the O. rufipogon may possess a strong mechanism of exclusiveness for self-protection. (iv) The flowering time isolation and a 2-m-high cloth-screen protection were proved to be effective in reducing transgene flow. We have proposed to use a principle of classification and threshold management for different types of rice.

Establishment and optimization of a regionally applicable maize gene-flow model.

Because of the rapid development of transgenic maize, the potential effect of transgene flow on seed purity has become a major concern in public and scientific communities. Setting a proper isolation distance in field experiments and seed production is a possible solution to meet seed-quality standards and ensure adventitious contamination of products is below a specific threshold. By using a Gaussian plume model as basis and data recorded by meteorological stations as input, we have established a simple regionally applicable maize gene-flow model for prediction of the maximum threshold distances (MTD) at which gene-flow frequency is equal to or lower than a threshold value of 1 or 0.1 % (MTD1%, MTD0.1%). After optimization of the model variables, simulated outcrossing rate was a good fit to data obtained from field experiments (y = 1.156x, R (2) = 0.8913, n = 30, P < P 0.01). In the process of model calibration, it was found that only 15.82 % of the total amount of the pollen released by each plant participated in the dispersal process. The variable "a" for genetic pollen competitiveness between donor and recipient was introduced into our model, for the "Zinuo18" and "Su608" used, "a" was 17.47. Finally, the model was successfully used in the spring maize-growing region of Northeast China. The range of MTD1% and MTD0.1% in this region varied from 10 m to 49 m and from 17 m to 125 m, respectively.

Establishment of a rice transgene flow model for predicting maximum distances of gene flow in southern China.

We aimed to establish a rice gene flow model based on (i) the Gaussian plume model, (ii) data from a three-location x 3-yr field experiment on transgene flow to common rice cultivars (Oryza sativa), male sterile (ms) lines (O. sativa) and common wild rice (Oryza rufipogon), and (iii) 32-yr historical meteorological data collected from 38 meteorological stations in southern China during the rice flowering period. The concept of the gene flow coefficient (GFC) is proposed; that is, the ratio of the transgene flow frequency (G%) obtained from field experiments to the aggregated pollen dispersal frequency (P%) calculated based on the pollen dispersal model. The maximum distances of gene flow (MDGF) to traditional rice cultivars, ms lines, and common wild rice at a threshold value of either 1.0 or 0.1% were determined. The MDGF and its spatial distribution in southern China show that the gene flow pattern is significantly affected by the monsoon climate, the topography, and the outcrossing ability of recipients. We believe that the information provided in this study will be useful for the risk assessment of transgenic rice in other rice-growing regions.

[Correlation of intersubspecific hybrid rice spikelet fertilization rate with temperature and related statistic model].

Using four types of rice, i. e., indica-japonica hybrid, intermediate hybrid, indica and japonica cultivars as test materials, this paper studied the sensitivity of intersubspecific hybrid rice to climatic factors, and the correlations between spikelet fertilization rate (SFR) and daily meteorological factors during 2000 and 2001. The results showed that the SFR of intersubspecific hybrids was lower than that of indica and japonica cultivars. Among eleven meteorological factors, temperature was the key factor, and the mean temperature within five or seven days around panicle flower blooming affected the SFR significantly. A comprehensive model of SFR-temperature was established, with which, the fittest temperature and safe temperature for fertilization of intersubspecific hybrids was estimated to be 28.2 - 29.3 degrees C and 23.4 - 24.3 degrees C, 2.2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C higher than those of indica and japonica cultivars, respectively. It was suggested that the safe heading date for planting intersubspecific hybrid should be moved up to the last ten-day of September to the first ten-day of October in southern China, the first ten-day of September in middle and lower reaches of Yangtze River Valley, and the last ten-day of August to the first ten-day of September in rice planting area between Yangtze and Huai River.